UnclassifiedExpires May 4, 2026

Mauthausen: Justin Engel vs Laslo Djere

Probability

32¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-19.0pp

24h Vol

$5.0K

Liquidity

$143.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 23:00Apr 26, 2026, 22:42
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  • 1

    Down 19pp over 24h

    Now 32¢; flat in the last hour.

  • 2

    Light volume — move on a thin book

    Only $5.0k traded against $143.0k of visible liquidity (0.04× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.

What to track next

  • Set an alert if probability recovers above 37¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 177.3h

    LOW

Price movement

-19.0pp over the last 24h, now 32¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the tennis match between Justin Engel and Laslo Djere in the Mauthausen, originally scheduled for April 27, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Justin Engel' if Justin Engel advances against Laslo Djere. This market will resolve to 'Laslo Djere' if Laslo Djere advances against Justin Engel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 4, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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