Set 1 Winner: Galan vs Basavareddy
Probability
41¢
1h
+1.5pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$686.25
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 6.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 169.3h
Price movement
-26.0pp over the last 24h, now 41¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Galan and Nishesh Basavareddy in the Savannah, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to “Galan” if Daniel Galan wins the first set. It will resolve to “Basavareddy” if Nishesh Basavareddy wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official Challenger match statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- that completed setAmbiguous wordingatptour.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (6.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
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Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.