Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Match O/U 21.5
Probability
52¢
1h
-8.5pp
24h
-7.0pp
24h Vol
$4.10
Liquidity
$49.89
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 7pp over 24h
Now 52¢; -8.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $50 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert if probability recovers above 57¢ — that's where this move would be reversing.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 159.7h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 81¢+14.0pp
Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 37¢-1.5pp
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)
Other · Vol $134.53
- 42¢-1.5pp
Daniil Medvedev vs. Fabian Marozsan: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $39.92
- 50¢-1.5pp
Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢0.0pp
Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $1.3K
- 32¢-7.0pp
Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 46¢+0.5pp
Medvedev vs. Marozsan: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 56¢0.0pp
Set 1 Winner: Medvedev vs Marozsan
Other · Vol $635.90
- 100¢+40.5pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $3.9M
- 80¢+13.0pp
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $3.0M
- 0¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Aurora vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffs
Sports · Vol $1.8M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $1.6M
- 100¢+41.4pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Sports · Vol $1.5M
- 100¢+59.5pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.4M
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 22. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.