Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Marozsan (+1.5)

1. 1

   Down 13pp over 24h

   Now 26¢; -25.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 158h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Wide spread — 49.0¢

   Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

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This market refers to the tennis match between Daniil Medvedev and Fabian Marozsan in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Medvedev" if Daniil Medvedev wins by 2 or more sets than Fabian Marozsan, based on the final completed score. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Marozsan." If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP results.