Set 1 Winner: Navone vs Zverev
Probability
31¢
1h
+3.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$110.00
Liquidity
$3.3K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 165.1h
- 11:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 165h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 52¢-1.5pp
Navone vs. Zverev: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $5.00
- 44¢-1.0pp
Navone vs. Zverev: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 41¢-0.5pp
Navone vs. Zverev: Match O/U 23.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Navone vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 27¢0.0pp
Navone vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 35¢-1.0pp
Mariano Navone vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $14.93
- 77¢-1.0pp
Navone vs. Zverev: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 56¢+2.5pp
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)
Other · Vol $513.62
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.1M
- 89¢+46.0pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $955.1K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $887.7K
- 4¢+0.1pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $766.5K
- 100¢+35.4pp
Madrid Open: Alejandro Davidovich Fokina vs Pablo Carreno Busta
Sports · Vol $582.2K
- 12¢+0.1pp
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?
Sports · Vol $528.0K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Mariano Navone and Alexander Zverev in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to “Navone” if Mariano Navone wins the first set. It will resolve to “Zverev” if Alexander Zverev wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP match statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (8.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).