Tien vs. Vallejo: Match O/U 23.5
Probability
44¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $2.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 163.6h
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 42¢-1.0pp
Set 1 Winner: Tien vs Vallejo
Other · Vol $154.68
- 23¢+4.5pp
Set Handicap: Tien (-1.5) vs Vallejo (+1.5)
Other · Vol $83.51
- 56¢+0.5pp
Tien vs. Vallejo: Match O/U 21.5
Other · Vol $16.12
- 41¢0.0pp
Learner Tien vs. Adolfo Vallejo: Total Sets O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $63.68
- 51¢+2.5pp
Tien vs. Vallejo: Match O/U 22.5
Other · Vol $550.11
- 76¢-6.0pp
Tien vs. Vallejo: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 55¢+2.5pp
Tien vs. Vallejo: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 27¢+8.0pp
Tien vs. Vallejo: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 39¢-4.0pp
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kings
Sports · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢0.0pp
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs South America Rejects - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $1.2M
- 1¢0.0pp
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Sports · Vol $888.9K
- 4¢+0.4pp
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $780.1K
- 100¢+57.5pp
Madrid Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Iva Jovic
Sports · Vol $644.6K
- 13¢+1.4pp
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Sports · Vol $526.3K
Market Description
This market refers to the tennis match between Learner Tien and Adolfo Vallejo in the Madrid Open, originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total number of games completed across all sets equals or exceeds 24. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under." All tiebreaks—including any Champions/Super tiebreak—count as one (1) game toward the total. If the match begins but is not completed, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled before play begins or delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a result, this market will also resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official ATP statistics.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.