AEK vs. Olympiacos B.C.
Probability
38¢
1h
+20.5pp
24h
+7.5pp
24h Vol
$33.79
Liquidity
$104.74
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 8pp over 24h
Now 38¢; +20.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 48.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 170.4h
- 12:52SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 33¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.5pp
to 23¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -25.0pp
to 26¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 32¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 46¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -32.5pp
to 19¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -26.0pp
to 25¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.5pp
to 16¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -30.0pp
to 21¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -29.0pp
to 22¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.0pp
to 18¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -28.5pp
to 23¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -22.5pp
to 29¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 39¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 47¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -12.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 34¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.5pp
to 37¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -21.0pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.5pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 37¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -20.5pp
to 31¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -17.5pp
to 34¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Greek Basketball League game, scheduled for April 25 at 11:15AM ET: If the AEK win, the market will resolve to "AEK". If the Olympiacos B.C. win, the market will resolve to "Olympiacos B.C.". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.esake.gr/
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (48.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).