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OtherExpires May 2, 2026

AEK vs. Olympiacos B.C.

Probability

38¢

1h

+20.5pp

24h

+7.5pp

24h Vol

$33.79

Liquidity

$104.74

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 08:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:52
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Up 8pp over 24h

    Now 38¢; +20.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 48.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 170.4h

    LOW
  • 12:52Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 170h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -18.0pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -28.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -25.0pp

    to 26¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -19.0pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -32.5pp

    to 19¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -26.0pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -35.5pp

    to 16¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability down -30.0pp

    to 21¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -29.0pp

    to 22¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -34.0pp

    to 18¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -28.5pp

    to 23¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -22.5pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -3.5pp

    to 47¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -12.0pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -16.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.5pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -11.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -21.0pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -19.5pp

    to 32¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -20.5pp

    to 31¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -17.5pp

    to 34¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Greek Basketball League game, scheduled for April 25 at 11:15AM ET: If the AEK win, the market will resolve to "AEK". If the Olympiacos B.C. win, the market will resolve to "Olympiacos B.C.". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.esake.gr/
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (48.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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