Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?
Probability
36¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.4pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$22.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
+11.3pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 851h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 7.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 851.1h
- 12:54SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 851h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 36¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 36¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 36¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.1pp
to 36¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.8pp
to 36¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.8pp
to 36¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 36¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.9pp
to 36¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -15.0pp
to 36¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.1pp
to 36¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 36¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.1pp
to 36¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.6pp
to 37¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 38¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -14.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.4pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.7pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 38¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.1pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.4pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.9pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.3pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.6pp
to 38¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 2¢-2.4pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $720.1K
- 10¢-30.0pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $652.4K
- 85¢0.0pp
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Other · Vol $567.7K
- 100¢+23.9pp
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $541.3K
Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (7.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).