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OtherExpires May 31, 2026

Cory Mills out as US Rep by May 31?

Probability

36¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-1.4pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$22.9K

Probability (last 7 days)

+11.3pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 13:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:54
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 1pp over 24h

    Now 36¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 851h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 7.7¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 851.1h

    LOW
  • 12:54Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 851h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -5.9pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -9.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -9.1pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -13.8pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -14.8pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -14.9pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -15.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -10.1pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability down -7.1pp

    to 36¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability down -6.6pp

    to 37¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -5.8pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 13:00Price

    Probability down -7.8pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -14.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.4pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.7pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.1pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -10.3pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.4pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -9.4pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.9pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -8.3pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.6pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cory Mills ceases to be United States Representative from Florida's 7th congressional district for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mills' resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Cory Mills and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Not specified in metadata
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (7.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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