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OtherExpires Apr 29, 2026

Map Handicap: AST (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)

Probability

25¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.5pp

24h Vol

$16.80

Liquidity

$5.4K

Probability (last 7 days)

-6.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 18:00Apr 25, 2026, 15:06
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 4pp over 24h

    Now 25¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 5.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 104.4h

    LOW
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 25¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 29¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 30¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Astralis and G2 in the BLAST Rivals Group A, initially scheduled for April 29 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Astralis" if Astralis wins 2 or more maps than G2 in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "G2". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 29, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

3 wallets