Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Keyd - Map 1 Winner
Probability
63¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+11.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$520.45
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 11pp over 24h
Now 63¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 31h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 33.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 31h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 31 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 31.0h
- 18:01SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 31h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+11.0pp over the last 24h, now 63¢.
Biggest hourly move: +7.5pp at 17:00 (to 65¢).
Show all 7 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:01 · +4.0pp → 63¢
- 17:00 · +7.5pp → 65¢
- 16:00 · +5.5pp → 63¢
- 15:00 · +5.0pp → 64¢
- 13:00 · +5.0pp → 63¢
- 12:00 · +3.5pp → 63¢
- 10:00 · +5.0pp → 65¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Galorys and Keyd in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Galorys" if Galorys win Map 1 against Keyd. This market will resolve to "Keyd" if Keyd win Map 1 against Galorys. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensushltv.org
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (33.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.