SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Spirit Academy - Map 1 Winner

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$117.71

Liquidity

$1.2K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 06:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:26
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  2. 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $1.2k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  3. 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 19:27Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    LOW
  • 16:30Resolve

    Market resolved 3h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+49.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 2 match between Lavked and Spirit Academy in the Exort Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win Map 1 against Spirit Academy. This market will resolve to "Spirit Academy" if Spirit Academy win Map 1 against Lavked. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 1. If Map 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
hltv.org
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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