Loading shell…
AIExpires Apr 25, 2026

Map Handicap: MGC (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)

Probability

1h

-50.4pp

24h

-37.0pp

24h Vol

$61.15

Liquidity

$4.7K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:18
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 37pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -50.4pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $4.7k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 5h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 18:20Resolve

    Market resolves in 5.0h

    HIGH
  • 13:18Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between magic and Nuclear TigeRES in the NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "magic" if magic wins 2 or more maps than Nuclear TigeRES in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://hltv.orgNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).

Top Holders

3 wallets