UnclassifiedExpires Apr 26, 2026

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Probability

100¢

1h

+46.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$290.40

Liquidity

$10.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:28
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Thin liquidity

    Only $10.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  • 3

    Expiry in 3h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

  • 4

    UMA status: proposed

    An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 3 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 00:20Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.9h

    HIGH
  • 21:28Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 3h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+49.5pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Voca and Marsborne in the FRAG Group D, initially scheduled for April 25 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Voca and Marsborne play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.