Map Handicap: WC (-1.5) vs Wanted Goons (+1.5)
Probability
49¢
1h
-2.5pp
24h
-14.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$972.97
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 14pp over 24h
Now 49¢; -2.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 40h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 35.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 40h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 40 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 40.2h
- 14:48SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 40h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -11.5pp
to 51¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 51¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 51¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 56¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 63¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.5pp
to 64¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 60¢
- 04:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 62¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Wildcard and Wanted Goons in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Wildcard" if Wildcard wins 2 or more maps than Wanted Goons in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Wanted Goons". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://hltv.orgNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (35.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.