Games Total: O/U 2.5
Probability
43¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+7.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 7pp over 24h
Now 43¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 37h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 31.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 37h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 37 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 36.5h
- 18:27SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 37h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+7.0pp over the last 24h, now 43¢.
Biggest hourly move: -26.0pp at 08:00 (to 25¢).
Show all 11 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:27 · +4.5pp → 43¢
- 17:00 · +7.0pp → 43¢
- 15:00 · +16.0pp → 43¢
- 14:00 · +13.0pp → 40¢
- 12:00 · +12.5pp → 39¢
- 11:00 · +16.5pp → 41¢
- 09:00 · -13.0pp → 38¢
- 08:00 · -26.0pp → 25¢
- 06:00 · -24.0pp → 27¢
- 05:00 · -15.0pp → 36¢
- 04:00 · -14.0pp → 36¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 1 match between Wildcard and Wanted Goons in the ESL Challenger League North America Cup #4 Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 26 at 9:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Over" if Wildcard and Wanted Goons play 3 or more maps in this series. If fewer than 3 maps are played, this market will resolve to "Under". Maps won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the total, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching map being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://hltv.org. However, if https://hltv.org has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensushltv.org
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (31.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.