Wrong-Apprehension
0xdf8103a369799de9f938a6ffcfca446e1c3e697d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
57
Open notional
$25.3K
Total PnL
$-4.0K
Realised
$-588.78
Win rate
20%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- NO
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?
8150 shares @ 77.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$6.3K
$5.30
- NO
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
2500 shares @ 78.1¢·now 86.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$209.38
- NO
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by June 30?
1930 shares @ 87.9¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$137.75
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
1903 shares @ 83.1¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.8K
$198.62
- YES
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
7915 shares @ 32.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.4K
$-1.1K
- YES
Will ICEMAN be No.1 for 4 weeks or more?
1240 shares @ 85.2¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.2K
$180.21
- YES
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
7460 shares @ 7.6¢·now 12.8¢·exp Oct 21, 2026$954.88
$385.29
- NO
Pete Hegseth impeached by June 30?
955 shares @ 96.3¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$943.70
$24.35
- NO
Will Trump deport 300-400k people?
1114 shares @ 67.2¢·now 79.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$885.63
$136.50
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
1003 shares @ 85.5¢·now 87.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$880.13
$22.16
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$7.80Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$2.20Jun 13, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$235.11Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$66.96Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?$2.04Jun 13, 11:56 UTC
- REWARD$1.31Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nathan MacKinnon win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?$757.50Jun 12, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump deport 300-400k people?$84.03Jun 12, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?$7.60Jun 12, 01:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYCap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?$88.42Jun 12, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$429.88Jun 12, 01:37 UTC
- REWARD$1.22Jun 12, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$1.61Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?$2.7KJun 9, 19:08 UTC
- REWARD$2.12Jun 9, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?$6.62Jun 8, 23:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$130.00Jun 8, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$433.05Jun 8, 01:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?$500.40Jun 7, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.10ºC and 1.14ºC in May 2026?$16.05Jun 7, 01:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $93.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 13:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 15:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.