Flashy-Label
0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
83
Open notional
$8.8M
Total PnL
$85.7K
Realised
$9.0K
Win rate
93%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 83- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4500000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 85.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.8M
$1.6M
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
1534164 shares @ 99.3¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$1.5M
$4.0K
- NO
Trump out as President by June 30?
746079 shares @ 95.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$742.7K
$32.1K
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
4500000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 15.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$677.3K
$-1.6M
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
420163 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$418.7K
$639.91
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
290242 shares @ 97.3¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$287.8K
$5.2K
- NO
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?
221011 shares @ 97.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$219.7K
$4.9K
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
190668 shares @ 88.1¢·now 94.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$179.1K
$11.1K
- NO
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?
106845 shares @ 96.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$105.5K
$2.3K
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
75975 shares @ 98.5¢·now 99.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$75.6K
$804.11
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMiguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$2.38Jun 15, 09:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$78.3KJun 15, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$203.97Jun 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.00Jun 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$199.00Jun 15, 08:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$661.67Jun 15, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$9.5KJun 15, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$0.13Jun 15, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$199.00Jun 15, 08:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$199.00Jun 15, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$1.77Jun 15, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$7.6KJun 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$49.8KJun 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$49.8KJun 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$5.2KJun 15, 07:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$1.2KJun 15, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$80.37Jun 15, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$2.0KJun 15, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$995.00Jun 15, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$199.00Jun 15, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$1.7M
Trades
13
Buy share
95%
Window
May 17, 13:20 UTC → Jun 10, 04:56 UTC
- BUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$1.3M@100¢Jun 10, 04:56 UTC
- BUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$11.1K@98¢Jun 7, 01:42 UTC
- BUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.5K@98¢Jun 6, 22:26 UTC
- BUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$12.0K@100¢May 30, 10:48 UTC
- BUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$59.6K@100¢May 30, 10:33 UTC
- BUYIran closes its airspace by May 27?$50.1K@100¢May 29, 08:52 UTC
- BUYNew "Stranger Things" episode released by May 31? $29.7K@100¢May 28, 20:25 UTC
- BUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by May 31?$5.8K@100¢May 28, 11:57 UTC
- BUYWill the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?$23.9K@99¢May 26, 00:22 UTC
- BUYTrump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?$87.4K@99¢May 21, 16:39 UTC
- BUYTrump out as President by June 30?$38.4K@99¢May 21, 04:55 UTC
- SELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$18.4K@96¢May 17, 13:26 UTC
- SELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$77.3K@97¢May 17, 13:15 UTC
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$1.3M
1 trades
30d volume
$1.7M
13 trades
Buy share
95%
Sample
medium
13 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
$1.3M · 76% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 15, 05:35 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 15, 09:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.