Flashy-Label
0xed107a85a4585a381e48c7f7ca4144909e7dd2e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
77
Open notional
$7.4M
Total PnL
$59.6K
Realised
$5.3K
Win rate
83%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 77- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6000000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 79.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.8M
$1.8M
- YES
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6000000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 20.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.2M
$-1.8M
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
295594 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$295.4K
$633.75
- NO
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
190668 shares @ 88.1¢·now 95.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$182.6K
$14.5K
- NO
Trump out as President before 2027?
174192 shares @ 91.2¢·now 93.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$162.9K
$4.0K
- NO
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026?
121085 shares @ 88.8¢·now 96.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.1K
$9.6K
- NO
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?
112296 shares @ 91.1¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$107.2K
$5.0K
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
84399 shares @ 94.3¢·now 98.2¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$82.8K
$3.2K
- NO
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
64129 shares @ 92.5¢·now 91.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$58.4K
$-973.86
- NO
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?
42125 shares @ 90.6¢·now 95.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$40.2K
$2.0K
Recent activity
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Duško Todorovic vs. Robert Valentin (Middleweight, Main Card)$5.0KAug 1, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$23.25Aug 1, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill any other model be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$1.3KAug 1, 18:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill claude-opus-4-6-thinking be the best AI model on August 1, 2026?$5.2KAug 1, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$51.67Aug 1, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$4.4KAug 1, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$13.31Aug 1, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?$27.60Aug 1, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?$41.39Aug 1, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1.88Aug 1, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$50.0KAug 1, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$10.0KAug 1, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Oban Elliott vs. Michael Oliveira (Welterweight, Prelims)$5.0KAug 1, 16:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President before 2027?$398.57Aug 1, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$25.31Aug 1, 16:30 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)$51.6KAug 1, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)$49.95Aug 1, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)$234.14Aug 1, 16:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)$184.23Aug 1, 16:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)$155.26Aug 1, 16:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentLedger volume
$3.1M
Trades
6
Buy share
64%
Window
May 17, 13:20 UTC → Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- BUYUFC 329: Cory Sandhagen vs. Mario Bautista (Bantamweight, Main Card)$5.7K@94¢Jul 12, 02:45 UTC
- BUY Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$25.8K@100¢Jul 1, 02:32 UTC
- BUYClaudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?$12.0K@100¢Jun 27, 09:05 UTC
- BUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?$37.7K@100¢Jun 27, 09:03 UTC
- BUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$6.5K@98¢Jun 6, 22:26 UTC
- BUYJerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?$59.6K@100¢May 30, 10:33 UTC
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
83% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 24 ledger trades, copy-risk 72/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$5.7K
1 trades
Buy share
64%
Sample
medium
24 ledger trades
Top market concentration
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?
$1.3M · 43% of recorded whale volume
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.8K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 15:43 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 1, 18:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.