CryptoExpires Apr 26, 2026

Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ET

Probability

45¢

1h

-3.0pp

24h

-5.0pp

24h Vol

$6.00

Liquidity

$30.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 24, 2026, 02:00Apr 26, 2026, 00:57
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 5 factors
  • 1

    Down 5pp over 24h

    Now 45¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.

  • 2

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 5.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover.

  • 3

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 4

    Wide spread — 10.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 5

    Expiry in 1h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 02:00Resolve

    Market resolves in 1.0h

    HIGH
  • 00:57Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 5.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover.

    LOW
  • 00:57Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+5.0pp over the last 24h, now 55¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
Binance spot pair
Type
Exchange price
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

2 wallets