Dogecoin Up or Down - April 25, 9PM ET
Probability
45¢
1h
-3.0pp
24h
-5.0pp
24h Vol
$6.00
Liquidity
$30.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 5pp over 24h
Now 45¢; -3.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 5.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 5
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 02:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.0h
- 00:57SignalLOW
Momentum down
Probability moved down 5.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover.
- 00:57SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+5.0pp over the last 24h, now 55¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
6- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $5.8M
- 0¢-0.1pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Crypto · Vol $1.3M
- 3¢+0.1pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $1.1M
- 44¢+1.0pp
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $327.0K
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $293.8K
- 0¢-0.4pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $84,000 on April 26?
Crypto · Vol $210.6K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the DOGE/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the DOGE/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/DOGE_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance DOGE/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.