Will El Ahly SC win on 2026-04-27?
Probability
34¢
1h
-1.5pp
24h
-3.0pp
24h Vol
$160.60
Liquidity
$144.9K
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 34¢; -1.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Momentum signal firing
Probability moved down 3.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 3
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 4
Expiry in 5h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 5 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 17:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 4.9h
- 12:08SignalMEDIUM
Momentum down
Probability moved down 3.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.
- 12:08SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 5h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-2.5pp over the last 24h, now 34¢.
Biggest hourly move: +13.0pp at 1d ago (to 37¢).
Show top 8 of 25 hourly moves
- 1d ago · +13.0pp → 37¢
- 1d ago · +10.5pp → 36¢
- 1d ago · +9.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +8.0pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +7.5pp → 36¢
- 2d ago · +7.0pp → 37¢
- 2d ago · +9.0pp → 37¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 27, 2026 If El Ahly SC wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.