Bulky-Diploma
0x520b4a0452005517964ee864985f2026d0dc100a
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$5.1K
Total PnL
$331.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?
1551 shares @ 87.2¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.5K
$160.09
- NO
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ?
825 shares @ 92.3¢·now 97.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$806.44
$45.32
- NO
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?
904 shares @ 80.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$700.60
$-26.16
- NO
Will Tesla sell a Cybercab for 30k or less in 2026?
539 shares @ 76.6¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$450.06
$37.12
- NO
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?
301 shares @ 81.5¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$270.45
$25.46
- NO
Les Wexner charged by June 30?
174 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$174.00
$26.10
- NO
Major CEX insolvent in 2026?
143 shares @ 86.8¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$135.47
$11.07
- NO
Will Nigel Farage be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
120 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$120.00
$8.40
- NO
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
124 shares @ 85.2¢·now 92.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$113.97
$8.49
- NO
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?
104 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$104.00
$34.37
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30?$111.00May 1, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Marco Rubio visit China by April 30, 2026?$117.00May 1, 07:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill MegaETH launch a token by June 30, 2026?$0.00Apr 30, 14:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Virginia redistricting referendum pass?$0.00Apr 22, 04:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$0.00Apr 14, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMPolymarket surpasses Robinhood on Similar Web in 2026?$0.00Apr 1, 20:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill a 10% US blanket tariff be in effect on March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on March 31?$0.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?$0.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?$8.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Kindrativka by March 31?$20.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Aliens are Real" in March?$20.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMLes Wexner arrested by March 31?$22.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be less than 5% on March 31?$28.22Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 25% and 35% on March 31?$38.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by March 31, 2026?$40.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMPakistan x Afghanistan ceasefire by March 31?$49.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMPrince Andrew charged by March 31?$50.65Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$56.00Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Hyperliquid's HIP-4 upgrade go live on mainnet by March 31?$105.01Apr 1, 11:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 23:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 1, 07:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.