Spread: Fulham FC (-2.5)
Probability
1¢
1h
+0.2pp
24h
+0.2pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$292.38
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $292 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 168.3h
- 16:13PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 1¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 1¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 1¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 1¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 1¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.2pp
to 1¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.8pp
to 1¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.9pp
to 1¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.8pp
to 1¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.7pp
to 1¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 1¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 1¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 1¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 1¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.3pp
to 1¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.4pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.4pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.0pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.2pp
to 1¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.9pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.8pp
to 2¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 3¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 4¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.3pp
to 3¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game, scheduled for May 2 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fulham FC" if Fulham FC win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arsenal FC". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on premierleague.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.premierleague.com/News consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).