Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 0 Newcastle United FC?
Probability
12¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
+3.0pp
24h Vol
$1.2K
Liquidity
$5.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+1.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 3pp over 24h
Now 12¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $5.5k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 1h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 1 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 16:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.4h
- 15:04SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 1h with open resolution ambiguity.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Arsenal FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC match originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).