Exact Score: Arsenal FC 1 - 3 Newcastle United FC?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+48.4pp
24h Vol
$937.50
Liquidity
$0.01
Probability (last 7 days)
+46.1pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 48pp over 24h
Now 50¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 99.9¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:23SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:30ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 2h ago
Price movement
+48.3pp over the last 24h, now 50¢.
Biggest hourly move: +47.5pp at 17:00 (to 50¢).
Show all 2 hour-by-hour ticks
- 18:23 · +47.5pp → 50¢
- 17:00 · +47.5pp → 50¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Premier League game between Arsenal FC and Newcastle United FC, scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Arsenal FC vs. Newcastle United FC match originally scheduled for April 25, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if final official statistics are not published within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- official statisticsOfficial statisticsextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (99.9¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.