Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on May 2?
Probability
6¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$12.00
Liquidity
$6.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Wide spread — 5.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 162.0h
Price movement
-1.0pp over the last 24h, now 6¢.
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 79¢0.0pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 2?
Crypto · Vol $0.00
- 99¢0.0pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 2?
Crypto · Vol $0.00
- 93¢0.0pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 2?
Crypto · Vol $16.00
- 78¢0.0pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 2?
Crypto · Vol $41.59
- 55¢0.0pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 2?
Crypto · Vol $0.00
- 30¢0.0pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 2?
Crypto · Vol $8.00
- 12¢0.0pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 2?
Crypto · Vol $7.00
- 2¢0.0pp
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on May 2?
Crypto · Vol $40.00
- 1¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?
Crypto · Vol $5.8M
- 0¢-0.2pp
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 24?
Crypto · Vol $1.4M
- 3¢+0.1pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $1.1M
- 42¢-3.5pp
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $419.6K
- 1¢-0.5pp
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $313.9K
- 0¢0.0pp
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
Crypto · Vol $198.2K
Market Description
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for ETH/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the ETH/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/ETH_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance ETH/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Wide spread (5.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.