Olympique de Marseille leading at halftime?
Probability
49¢
1h
-1.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$778.75
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 139h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 139.0h
- 23:46SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 139h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 49¢.
Biggest hourly move: +39.5pp at 15:00 (to 66¢).
Show top 8 of 27 hourly moves
- 22:00 · +33.5pp → 60¢
- 19:00 · +39.5pp → 66¢
- 17:00 · +38.0pp → 65¢
- 15:00 · +39.5pp → 66¢
- 1d ago · +23.5pp → 50¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 51¢
- 1d ago · +24.5pp → 51¢
- 2d ago · -23.0pp → 28¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
8Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for May 1, 2026 If Olympique de Marseille wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 1, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Primaryofficial statisticsTypeOfficial statisticsConfidenceextracted · high
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.