UnclassifiedExpires May 1, 2026
Creator

CD Guastatoya vs. CSD Municipal: O/U 1.5

Probability

1h

-19.4pp

24h

-68.0pp

24h Vol

$601.76

Liquidity

$95.6K

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
Primary
official statistics
Type
Official statistics
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
  • Market expires May 1, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 27, 2026, 12:00May 1, 2026, 03:23
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 01
    Price move

    Down 68pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; -19.4pp in the last hour.

  • 02
    Active signal

    Momentum signal firing

    Probability moved down 68.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

  • 03
    Active signal

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 03:23Signal

    Momentum down

    Probability moved down 68.0pp in 24h with 0.0× liquidity turnover and a tight spread.

    HIGH
  • 03:23Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 01:00Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-68.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

Biggest hourly move: -33.5pp at 03:00 (to 17¢).

Show top 8 of 14 hourly moves
  • 03:00 · -33.5pp → 17¢
  • 01:00 · +14.0pp → 64¢
  • 18:00 · +7.5pp → 65¢
  • 12:00 · +5.5pp → 67¢
  • 05:00 · +7.5pp → 68¢
  • 1d ago · +13.5pp → 68¢
  • 1d ago · +13.5pp → 68¢
  • 1d ago · +14.0pp → 69¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming Liga Nacional Guatemala game between CD Guastatoya and CSD Municipal, scheduled for April 30 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if CD Guastatoya and CSD Municipal combine to score 2 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 2, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligagt.org. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Alerts

¢
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