Will Ōita Trinita win on 2026-04-25?
Probability
50¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+11.5pp
24h Vol
$6.69
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+15.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 10:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.0h
- 07:57SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 50¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.0pp
to 47¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 49¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.5pp
to 49¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 49¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 13.0pp
to 51¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.5pp
to 48¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 48¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.0pp
to 46¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.5pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 35¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -10.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.5pp
to 36¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 38¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 37¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 38¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 39¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 12.0pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 50¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 38¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25, 2026 If Ōita Trinita wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://www.jleague.jp/en/News consensus
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).