Hasty-Chain
0x8633c1c6844c5928b284a71e211584739474a08d
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$15.7K
Total PnL
$-16.1K
Realised
$-3.8K
Win rate
22%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Kash Patel out by December 31?
13881 shares @ 76.2¢·now 54.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.5K
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
3446 shares @ 79.5¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.9K
$-791.65
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
7692 shares @ 43.9¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$-1.6K
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
1300 shares @ 81.2¢·now 83.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$29.35
- YES
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
1744 shares @ 31.5¢·now 58.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.0K
$461.64
- YES
Kash Patel out by June 30?
12275 shares @ 54.6¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$920.65
$-5.8K
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1325 shares @ 32.2¢·now 50.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$669.15
$242.81
- YES
Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1000 shares @ 30.7¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$380.00
$73.24
- YES
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
902 shares @ 18.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$157.92
$-4.71
- YES
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
7064 shares @ 25.1¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$88.30
$-1.7K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?$3.84Jun 13, 08:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$100.00Jun 13, 05:50 UTC
- REWARD$6.04Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$535.35Jun 12, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$170.00Jun 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$46.75Jun 12, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$240.00Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$809.99Jun 12, 14:50 UTC
- REDEEMGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$100.00Jun 12, 03:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$528.90Jun 12, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$820.00Jun 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$607.60Jun 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$603.40Jun 12, 00:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$170.00Jun 12, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$861.00Jun 12, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYGolden Knights vs. Hurricanes$60.72Jun 12, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?$5.30Jun 10, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027?$20.00Jun 10, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? $0.14Jun 9, 09:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by June 30, 2027?$0.21Jun 8, 15:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $242.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 7, 05:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.