Gruesome-Media
0xcfb502224876900f577704a19580ec67f0877d2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
83/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
95
Open notional
$35.4K
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$-1.6K
Win rate
55%
20 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 95- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
16587 shares @ 64.1¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.7K
$2.1K
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
10854 shares @ 26.7¢·now 46.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.0K
$2.1K
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
5354 shares @ 42.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.0K
$2.7K
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
2321 shares @ 81.9¢·now 98.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.3K
$390.20
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
2328 shares @ 65.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$2.3K
$772.37
- NO
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?
2124 shares @ 55.1¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.3K
$136.38
- NO
Will Karoline Leavitt leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1699 shares @ 58.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$146.99
- NO
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
1221 shares @ 59.6¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$823.60
$95.42
- YES
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
1096 shares @ 17.9¢·now 73.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$799.79
$603.50
- NO
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?
1722 shares @ 40.2¢·now 44.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$757.51
$65.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$53.00Jun 13, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$100.00Jun 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?$50.00Jun 13, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026?$30.20Jun 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$35.29Jun 13, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30?$1.01Jun 13, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$85.33Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$101.72Jun 13, 14:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 13, 00:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on IPO day?$215.52Jun 12, 22:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 12, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill US crude oil reserves fall to 350M by June 5?$170.58Jun 11, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.03Jun 11, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+?$5.75Jun 9, 20:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$32.54Jun 8, 21:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?$153.22Jun 7, 08:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027?$101.64Jun 7, 08:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $60.83
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 31, 14:38 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 20:47 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 20 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.