Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Probability
10¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$116.50
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 5 factors- 1
Down 3pp over 24h
Now 10¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 3
Wide spread — 20.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
- 5
UMA status: proposed
An open UMA dispute or pending oracle vote can move price independently of underlying odds. Wait for settlement before treating the line as the market view.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 13:41SignalHIGH
Signal · Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 13:41PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 10¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 50¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 50¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 50¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 50¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 50¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 50¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 50¢
- 03:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 11h ago
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.5pp
to 50¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 37.0pp
to 51¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 36.0pp
to 50¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.0pp
to 13¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 14¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.5pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 32¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 33¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -38.5pp
to 13¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.5pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 14¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -37.0pp
to 14¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 100¢+27.5pp
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season
Other · Vol $37.0K
- 0¢-65.5pp
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 1 Winner
Other · Vol $30.8K
- 100¢+36.4pp
LoL: Dorado Gaming vs Apex Mission Impossible - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $18.8K
- 100¢+54.9pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $432.88
- 0¢-45.5pp
Game Handicap: DOG (-1.5) vs Apex Mission Impossible (+1.5)
Other · Vol $3.7K
- 100¢+87.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+27.0pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 100¢+88.4pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 1¢-2.0pp
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Other · Vol $2.0M
- 100¢+59.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner
Other · Vol $1.1M
- 1¢-35.0pp
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Other · Vol $924.2K
- 59¢-1.0pp
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $900.8K
- 0¢-39.5pp
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $851.2K
- 60¢+2.0pp
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $782.0K
Market Description
This market is about whether any player achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. In League of Legends, a Quadra Kill occurs when a single player kills 4 enemy champions in rapid succession. This market will resolve to "Yes" if any player on either team achieves a Quadra Kill during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if no player achieves a Quadra Kill. A Penta Kill (5 kills in rapid succession) also counts as a Quadra Kill having occurred for the purposes of this market. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether a Quadra Kill occurred prior to stoppage. If no Quadra Kill occurred, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (20.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.