Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1?
Probability
100¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+50.0pp
24h Vol
$36.0K
Liquidity
$199.4K
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 01Price move
Up 50pp over 24h
Now 100¢; flat in the last hour.
- 02Volume pressure
Light volume — move on a thin book
Only $36.0k traded against $199.4k of visible liquidity (0.18× turnover). Treat the move as low-confidence until volume confirms.
- 03Active signal
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Wait for the UMA proposal to settle (current status: proposed) — price moves now reflect oracle dynamics, not odds.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- proposed
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- UMA status: proposed
- Market expires May 2, 2026 — dispute window active.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 18:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 1.8h
- 16:11SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h. UMA dispute is active.
Price movement
+50.0pp over the last 24h, now 100¢.
Biggest hourly move: +50.5pp at 14:00 (to 100¢).
Show 2 hourly moves
- 16:00 · +50.0pp → 100¢
- 14:00 · +50.5pp → 100¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.
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Market Description
In the upcoming match between Invictus Gaming and Anyone's Legend in the LPL Group Ascend, initially scheduled for May 2 at 7:00AM ET: This market is about the total kills in Game 1. This market will resolve to "Over" if the total kills in Game 1 is 27 or more. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Under". If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the total kills in the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
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