LoL: MVK Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner
Probability
44¢
1h
+4.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$1.7K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 44¢; +4.0pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 10.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 25h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 25 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 24.5h
- 14:58SignalMEDIUM
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 25h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 41¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 44¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 43¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 48¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 48¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 49¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.0pp
to 49¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between MVK Esports and CTBC Flying Oyster in the LCP Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 26 at 7:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "MVK Esports" if MVK Esports win Game 1 against CTBC Flying Oyster. This market will resolve to "CTBC Flying Oyster" if CTBC Flying Oyster win Game 1 against MVK Esports. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://gol.gg/esports/homeNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (10.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.