LoL: NightBirds vs BRUTE - Game 1 Winner
Probability
96¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.5pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$720.14
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Thin liquidity
Only $720 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 116.7h
Price movement
+0.5pp over the last 24h, now 96¢.
Biggest hourly move: +45.0pp at 03:00 (to 96¢).
Show 3 hourly moves
- 06:00 · +44.5pp → 96¢
- 05:00 · +44.5pp → 96¢
- 03:00 · +45.0pp → 96¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 99¢+1.1pp
LoL: NightBirds vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
Sports · Vol $2.5K
- 96¢+0.5pp
LoL: NightBirds vs BRUTE - Game 2 Winner
Sports · Vol $0.00
- 9¢-0.5pp
Games Total: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $0.00
- 92¢0.0pp
Game Handicap: NBS (-1.5) vs BRUTE (+1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 37¢+1.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢-1.0pp
Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 52¢+0.5pp
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors?
Other · Vol $0.00
- 51¢0.0pp
Game 1: Any Player Quadra Kill?
Other · Vol $0.00
Market Description
This market refers to the LoL match between NightBirds and BRUTE in the Hitpoint Masters Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 30 at 12:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "NightBirds" if NightBirds win Game 1 against BRUTE. This market will resolve to "BRUTE" if BRUTE win Game 1 against NightBirds. If the match begins but is not completed, and Game 1 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Game 1. If Game 1 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Apr 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.