SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?

Probability

36¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$197.66

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:30
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 122h with open resolution ambiguity.

  2. 2

    Wide spread — 64.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 122.0h

    LOW
  • 18:30Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 122h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 36¢.

Biggest hourly move: -16.5pp at 14:00 (to 36¢).

Show all 11 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 18:30 · -16.0pp → 36¢
  • 17:00 · -16.0pp → 36¢
  • 15:00 · -16.0pp → 36¢
  • 14:00 · -16.5pp → 36¢
  • 12:00 · -14.5pp → 36¢
  • 11:00 · -14.5pp → 36¢
  • 09:00 · -14.5pp → 37¢
  • 08:00 · -15.5pp → 36¢
  • 06:00 · -15.5pp → 36¢
  • 05:00 · -15.0pp → 36¢
  • 03:00 · -15.0pp → 36¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: NightBirds vs BRUTE (BO3) - Hitpoint Masters Regular Season
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market is about whether both teams slay the Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. Baron Nashor is a powerful neutral objective in League of Legends that first spawns at 20:00 game time and respawns 6 minutes after each death, granting the slaying team the Hand of Baron buff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if both NightBirds and BRUTE each slay Baron Nashor at least once during Game 1. This market will resolve to "No" if either team (or both teams) does not slay Baron Nashor during Game 1. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is never played due to forfeit, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 is not played because the series result has already been determined (e.g., a team clinches the series before Game 1 is needed), this market will resolve to 50-50. If Game 1 begins but is not completed and ends via surrender, this market will resolve based on whether both teams had slain Baron Nashor prior to stoppage. If the condition was not met, this market will resolve to "No". If Game 1 is remade, resolution will be based on the remade game only. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (64.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket