SportsExpires Apr 30, 2026

Game Handicap: TT (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)

Probability

22¢

1h

-2.0pp

24h

-6.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$220.93

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 22, 2026, 16:00Apr 25, 2026, 17:45
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  1. 1

    Down 7pp over 24h

    Now 22¢; -2.0pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 117h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 30.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 117.2h

    LOW
  • 17:45Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 117h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-6.5pp over the last 24h, now 22¢.

Biggest hourly move: -25.0pp at 04:00 (to 25¢).

Show all 9 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · -7.0pp → 23¢
  • 16:00 · -5.5pp → 25¢
  • 12:00 · -16.0pp → 28¢
  • 11:00 · -5.0pp → 28¢
  • 09:00 · -22.5pp → 28¢
  • 08:00 · -22.5pp → 28¢
  • 06:00 · -12.0pp → 38¢
  • 05:00 · -25.0pp → 25¢
  • 04:00 · -25.0pp → 25¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

14
Same eventLoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana
Category · Sports

Market Description

This market refers to the LoL match between ThunderTalk Gaming and LGD Gaming in the LPL Group Nirvana, initially scheduled for April 30 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ThunderTalk Gaming" if ThunderTalk Gaming wins 2 or more games than LGD Gaming in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "LGD Gaming". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://gol.gg/esports/home. However, if https://gol.gg/esports/home has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Apr 30, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensus
gol.gg
Market type
Binary
  • Wide spread (30.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.

Open on Polymarket