Deportivo Toluca FC vs. Club León FC: O/U 3.5
Probability
42¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-1.0pp
24h Vol
$14.90
Liquidity
$12.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+2.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 1pp over 24h
Now 42¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $12.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 2 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 01:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.5h
- 22:30SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-0.5pp over the last 24h, now 42¢.
Biggest hourly move: +6.0pp at 3d ago (to 45¢).
Show top 8 of 47 hourly moves
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 45¢
- 2d ago · +5.5pp → 45¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 45¢
- 3d ago · +5.5pp → 45¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 45¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 45¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 45¢
- 3d ago · +6.0pp → 45¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming Liga MX game between Deportivo Toluca FC and Club León FC, scheduled for April 25 at 9:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Over" if Deportivo Toluca FC and Club León FC combine to score 4 or more goals in this game. If the combined total is less than 4, this market will resolve to "Under". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. If the game is started but not completed, this market will resolve according to the official final score published on ligamx.net. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 26, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.