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OtherExpires May 1, 2026

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Probability

100¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+51.9pp

24h Vol

$911.65

Liquidity

$400.5K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 15:00Apr 25, 2026, 00:58
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

 

Heuristic summary, generated from the public market metrics above: probability movement, volume, liquidity, spread, signals, and resolution status.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 166.1h

    LOW
  • 00:59Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 52.0pp

    to 100¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 58¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 45¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Cleveland Guardians and Toronto Blue Jays, scheduled for April 24 at 7:07 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Cleveland Guardians or Toronto Blue Jays. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

MEDIUM risk
End date
May 1, 2026
UMA status
proposed
Resolution source
https://www.mlb.com/scoresNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • UMA status: proposed
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

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