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OtherExpires May 2, 2026

Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Detroit Tigers vs. Cincinnati Reds

Probability

51¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.5pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$3.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 19, 2026, 14:00Apr 25, 2026, 13:30
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor
  1. 1

    Thin liquidity

    Only $3.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

  • Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
  • Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
  • Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 177.7h

    LOW
  • 13:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 12:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 10:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 08:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 06:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 7.0pp

    to 51¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 22:00Price

    Probability up 10.5pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability up 9.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 18:00Price

    Probability up 8.5pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 16:00Price

    Probability up 12.0pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 14:00Price

    Probability up 6.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 55¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 10.0pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 11.5pp

    to 56¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 3.5pp

    to 48¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 9.0pp

    to 53¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability up 8.0pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the Detroit Tigers and Cincinnati Reds, scheduled for April 25 at 7:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one run is scored in the 1st inning by either the Detroit Tigers or Cincinnati Reds. This market will resolve to "No" if no runs are scored in the 1st inning by either team. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
May 2, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://www.mlb.com/scoresNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

2 wallets