SportsExpires Apr 26, 2026

Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)

Probability

46¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$989.12

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:48
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 7.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 3

    Expiry in 22h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
  • Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 22 hours.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 20:05Resolve

    Market resolves in 22.3h

    HIGH
  • 21:48Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 22h with open resolution ambiguity.

    MEDIUM

Price movement

+1.5pp over the last 24h, now 46¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming MLB game between the San Diego Padres and Arizona Diamondbacks, scheduled for April 26 at 4:05 PM ET: This market will resolve to "San Diego Padres" if the San Diego Padres win the game by 2 or more runs. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game ends in a tie, this market will resolve to "Arizona Diamondbacks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. To know when a postponed game will be played, please check the home team's schedule on MLB.com for the listed team and look for the game described as a makeup game. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 26, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
MLB.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 26, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (7.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

No holder data from the Data API.