Game Handicap: AR (-1.5) vs TNC Pro Team (+1.5)
Probability
0¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
-38.5pp
24h Vol
$242.96
Liquidity
$11.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 38pp over 24h
Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Thin liquidity
Only $11.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
- 4
Expiry in 2h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 15:15ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 2.3h
- 12:56SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.0pp
to 0¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -46.0pp
to 0¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.0pp
to 50¢
- 07:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.5pp
to 52¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 54¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 57¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 11.0pp
to 57¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 40¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 38¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -13.5pp
to 33¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.5pp
to 39¢
- 19:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 42¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 39¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 40¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 39¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 46¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.5pp
to 46¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between TNC Pro Team and Aurora Gaming PH in the MPL Philippines Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming PH" if Aurora Gaming PH wins 2 or more games than TNC Pro Team in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TNC Pro Team". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_PageNews consensus
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).