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OtherExpires Apr 25, 2026

Game Handicap: AR (-1.5) vs TNC Pro Team (+1.5)

Probability

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-38.5pp

24h Vol

$242.96

Liquidity

$11.0K

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 20, 2026, 20:00Apr 25, 2026, 12:56
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Down 38pp over 24h

    Now 0¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

  3. 3

    Thin liquidity

    Only $11.0k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

  4. 4

    Expiry in 2h

    Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

AI prose summary

 

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves

AllTradesSignalsPrice
  • 15:15Resolve

    Market resolves in 2.3h

    HIGH
  • 12:56Signal

    Signal · Resolution risk

    Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW
  • 12:00Price

    Probability down -46.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 11:00Price

    Probability down -46.0pp

    to 0¢

    MEDIUM
  • 09:00Price

    Probability up 4.0pp

    to 50¢

    MEDIUM
  • 07:00Price

    Probability up 5.5pp

    to 52¢

    MEDIUM
  • 05:00Price

    Probability up 7.5pp

    to 54¢

    MEDIUM
  • 03:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 02:00Price

    Probability up 11.0pp

    to 57¢

    MEDIUM
  • 00:00Price

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 23:00Price

    Probability down -8.0pp

    to 38¢

    MEDIUM
  • 21:00Price

    Probability down -13.5pp

    to 33¢

    MEDIUM
  • 20:00Price

    Probability down -7.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 19:00Price

    Probability down -4.0pp

    to 42¢

    MEDIUM
  • 15:00Price

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -7.0pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.0pp

    to 40¢

    MEDIUM
  • 1d agoPrice

    Probability down -6.5pp

    to 39¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -4.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
  • 2d agoPrice

    Probability down -5.5pp

    to 46¢

    MEDIUM
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the Mobile Legends Bang Bang match between TNC Pro Team and Aurora Gaming PH in the MPL Philippines Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 25 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Aurora Gaming PH" if Aurora Gaming PH wins 2 or more games than TNC Pro Team in this match. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "TNC Pro Team". Games won by forfeit, disqualification, walkover, or default are counted towards the handicap, provided that the match is completed. If the match is canceled (not played at all for any reason), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's match forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match ends due to the clinching game being forfeited this will count as a completed match. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
https://liquipedia.net/mobilelegends/Main_PageNews consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).