PoliticsExpires Dec 31, 2026

Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of the United Arab Emirates by December 31, 2026?

Probability

7¢

1h

+0.0pp

24h

-3.0pp

24h Vol

$546.43

Liquidity

$33.8K

Probability (last 7 days)

+1.0pp 7d
Apr 18, 2026, 22:00Apr 25, 2026, 19:44
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 2 factors
  1. 1

    Down 3pp over 24h

    Now 7¢; flat in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Expires in 5980h with open resolution ambiguity.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 0s agoResolve

    Market resolves in 5980.2h

    LOW
  • 19:45Signal

    Resolution risk

    Expires in 5980h with open resolution ambiguity.

    LOW

Price movement

-3.0pp over the last 24h, now 7¢.

Biggest hourly move: +5.5pp at 1d ago (to 11¢).

Show all 20 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 06:00 · +5.0pp → 11¢
  • 05:00 · +5.5pp → 11¢
  • 03:00 · +4.5pp → 10¢
  • 02:00 · +5.5pp → 11¢
  • 00:00 · +4.5pp → 10¢
  • 22:00 · +5.5pp → 11¢
  • 21:00 · +5.5pp → 11¢
  • 20:00 · +4.5pp → 10¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · +5.5pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 11¢
  • 1d ago · +5.0pp → 11¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 9¢
  • 2d ago · +3.0pp → 9¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

7
Same eventMohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan out as President of UAE by...?
Category · Politics

Market Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan ceases to be President of the United Arab Emirates for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed bin Zayed Al Nahyan and the government of the United Arab Emirates; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk
End date
Dec 31, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
Market type
Binary
  • No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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Top Holders

20 wallets
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