AIExpires Apr 25, 2026

Tobias Harris: Assists O/U 2.5

Probability

50¢

1h

-0.5pp

24h

+18.5pp

24h Vol

$132.93

Liquidity

$0.48

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 23, 2026, 03:00Apr 25, 2026, 18:46
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 4 factors
  1. 1

    Up 19pp over 24h

    Now 50¢; -0.5pp in the last hour.

  2. 2

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  3. 3

    Wide spread — 97.0¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  4. 4

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 18:46Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Resolve

    Market resolved 2h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

+20.0pp over the last 24h, now 51¢.

Biggest hourly move: -11.5pp at 15:00 (to 39¢).

Show all 3 hour-by-hour ticks
  • 17:00 · +7.5pp → 50¢
  • 16:00 · -4.5pp → 38¢
  • 15:00 · -11.5pp → 39¢
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

In the upcoming NBA game, scheduled for April 25 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tobias Harris records more than 2.5 assists during the game. This market will resolve to "No" if Tobias Harris records 2.5 assists or fewer during the game. The entire game including all overtime periods will be considered. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. If the player is listed as inactive or otherwise does not take the court at any point, the market will resolve "No". The resolution source will be the official NBA box score as published on NBA.com.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
NBA.comOfficial sports result
nba.com
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (97.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
Deliver

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