1H Spread: Rockets (-3.5)
Probability
48¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$0.00
Liquidity
$2.8K
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 31h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 17.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Expiry in 31h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 31 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 31.0h
- 18:30SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 31h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-2.0pp over the last 24h, now 48¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the first half of the NBA game between Lakers and Rockets, scheduled for April 26 at 9:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Rockets" if the Rockets are winning by 4 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Lakers". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- based on the score at halftime onlyAmbiguous wordingnba.com
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (17.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.
Top Holders
No holder data from the Data API.