1H Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

1. 1

   Down 2pp over 24h

   Now 44¢; -1.0pp in the last hour.

2. 2

   Resolution-risk signal firing

   Expires in 2h with open resolution ambiguity.

3. 3

   Thin liquidity

   Only $3.3k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

4. 4

   Expiry in 2h

   Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Loading prose summary — see the structured breakdown above.

Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

In the first half of the NBA game between Thunder and Suns, scheduled for April 25 at 3:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Thunder" if the Thunder are winning by 6 or more points at halftime. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Suns". The result will be determined based on the score at halftime only. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.