What is the current Polymarket probability for "Will Bradly Nadeau win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?"?

As of Sun, 03 May 2026 04:46:27 GMT, YES is priced at 0% implied probability on Polymarket. The price changed +0.0pp in the last 24 hours.

When does this market resolve?

This market resolves by Jun 30, 2026. Resolution is determined from https://www.nhl.com/awards.

What source determines the outcome?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.nhl.com/awards. Polymarket's UMA optimistic oracle is the final settlement layer; if the published source is ambiguous, UMA tokenholders adjudicate.

How much is being traded on this market?

$0.00 traded in the last 24 hours. Lifetime volume: $23.8K. Open liquidity in the orderbook: $2.8K.

Where can I see the live data, signals, and whale flow for this market?

Orrery's per-market terminal at https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-2025-26-calder-memorial-trophy-bradly-nadeau renders a 7-day probability chart, recent trades scoped to this market, top YES/NO holders, all firing signals (momentum / divergence / flow / resolution-risk), and an AI-generated movement explanation. A machine-readable Markdown summary is available at https://orrery.me/markets/nhl-2025-26-calder-memorial-trophy-bradly-nadeau/markdown.

SportsMulti-outcomeExpires Jun 30, 2026

Creator

Will Bradly Nadeau win the 2025–2026 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy?

Probability

0¢

+0.0pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$0.00

Liquidity

$2.8K

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
Official NHL data
Link
nhl.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d

Apr 26, 2026, 05:00May 3, 2026, 04:46

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 1 factor

01
Liquidity
Thin liquidity
Only $2.8k of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.

What to track next

Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Resolution & Risk

LOW risk

End date: Jun 30, 2026
UMA status: n/a
Resolution source: Primary
Official NHL data
Link
nhl.com
Type
Official sports result
Market type: Multi-outcome (neg-risk)

Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.

Read full market rules on Polymarket

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

0s agoResolve
Market resolves in 1387.2h
LOW

Price movement

+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 0¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market. That usually means liquidity is thin or this market is between event windows.

Open whale feed Browse related markets Alert me on the next trade

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Related Markets

Category · Sports

Market Description

This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NHL Calder Memorial Trophy. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Calder Memorial Trophy, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Alerts

Deliver

In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.

Top Holders

12 wallets

YES

0xa5ef…296610.4K
Greedy-Anywhere25

Open on Polymarket