Spread: CD Los Chankas (-2.5)
Probability
5¢
1h
+0.5pp
24h
-6.8pp
24h Vol
$219.32
Liquidity
$412.25
Probability (last 7 days)
-31.8pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 4 factors- 1
Down 7pp over 24h
Now 5¢; +0.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 6.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 4
Expiry in 6h
Market resolves within 72 hours — the move likely reflects information about the resolution event itself rather than longer-horizon repricing. Verify the resolution source.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
- Set an alert for resolution status changes — expiry is in 6 hours.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 20:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolves in 6.0h
- 14:02SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Expires in 6h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
-6.1pp over the last 24h, now 6¢.
Biggest hourly move: -32.5pp at 10:00 (to 6¢).
Show top 8 of 58 hourly moves
- 10:00 · -32.5pp → 6¢
- 21:00 · -26.5pp → 7¢
- 1d ago · -22.5pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -23.0pp → 12¢
- 1d ago · -23.5pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -23.5pp → 12¢
- 2d ago · -23.0pp → 13¢
- 3d ago · -22.5pp → 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
14- 20¢+7.0pp
Spread: AD Tarma (-1.5)
Other · Vol $12.58
- 9¢-3.0pp
Spread: CD Los Chankas (-1.5)
Other · Vol $0.00
- 7¢+1.5pp
Spread: AD Tarma (-2.5)
Other · Vol $5.21
- 73¢+1.5pp
AD Tarma vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 1.5
Other · Vol $100.00
- 47¢+1.5pp
AD Tarma vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 2.5
Other · Vol $22.00
- 25¢+4.5pp
AD Tarma vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 3.5
Other · Vol $124.74
- 11¢+1.0pp
AD Tarma vs. CD Los Chankas: O/U 4.5
Other · Vol $5.49
- 53¢0.0pp
AD Tarma vs. CD Los Chankas: Both Teams to Score
Other · Vol $205.64
- 56¢+2.0pp
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-04-27?
Other · Vol $432.5K
- 36¢-0.9pp
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $369.6K
- 4¢-3.3pp
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Other · Vol $272.3K
- 11¢-0.8pp
Will France win Eurovision 2026?
Other · Vol $265.8K
- 51¢+46.1pp
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?
Other · Vol $263.9K
- 0¢-0.9pp
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?
Other · Vol $239.5K
Market Description
In the upcoming Peru Liga 1 game, scheduled for April 27 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "CD Los Chankas" if CD Los Chankas win the game by 3 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "AD Tarma". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50. This market will resolve according to the official final score published on liga1.pe. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 27, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 27, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (6.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.