Will Montpellier win?
Probability
51¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+35.0pp
24h Vol
$112.70
Liquidity
$0.06
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 35pp over 24h
Now 51¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 99.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 165.8h
- 17:10SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 166h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 51¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 19.0pp
to 50¢
- 14:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 16¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -7.0pp
to 25¢
- 11:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.0pp
to 26¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.5pp
to 16¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -16.0pp
to 17¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 15¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 15¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.0pp
to 15¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 15¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 15¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 15¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 15¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 15¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -18.5pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -19.0pp
to 16¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.5pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -33.5pp
to 15¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -34.0pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 15¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -35.0pp
to 15¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If Montpellier wins, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (99.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.