Will the match end in a draw?
Probability
1¢
1h
-49.5pp
24h
-2.5pp
24h Vol
$128.01
Liquidity
$31.57
Probability (last 7 days)
-6.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Down 2pp over 24h
Now 1¢; -49.5pp in the last hour.
- 2
Thin liquidity
Only $32 of visible book — small orders can move the line. Treat the probability as a soft estimate.
What to track next
- Set an alert at the next ±5pp probability move so you find out before the next leg.
- Add to your watchlist — Home will show probability deltas since your last visit.
- Compare against sibling markets in the same event below — divergent pricing across related contracts is the cleanest tell.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 165.8h
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.9pp
to 1¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.5pp
to 50¢
- 15:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 42.5pp
to 50¢
- 13:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 4¢
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 4¢
- 10:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 4¢
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 4¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 4¢
- 05:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
- 03:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 4¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.4pp
to 4¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.1pp
to 4¢
- 23:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.3pp
to 4¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 4¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.8pp
to 4¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 3¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 3¢
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
In the upcoming game, scheduled for April 25 2026 If the game ends in a draw, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Yes". This market refers only to the outcome when the ball becomes dead after 80 minutes of regular play.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- May 2, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.