SportsExpires Apr 25, 2026

StarCraft II: Classic vs SHIN (BO5) - WardiTV Team Liquid Map Contest Playoffs

Probability

20¢

1h

-4.6pp

24h

+0.0pp

24h Vol

$155.58

Liquidity

$146.78

Probability (last 7 days)

+0.0pp 7d
Apr 25, 2026, 11:00Apr 25, 2026, 21:24
updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB

Why did it move?

Structured · 3 factors
  • 1

    Resolution-risk signal firing

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

  • 2

    Wide spread — 40.6¢

    Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.

  • 3

    Past expiry — awaiting resolution

    Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.

What to track next

  • Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.

Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.

Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.

Timeline

critical · price · trade flow

Critical

  • 21:25Signal

    Resolution risk

    Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.

    MEDIUM
  • 17:00Resolve

    Market resolved 4h ago

    HIGH

Price movement

-26.8pp over the last 24h, now 23¢.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket CLOB·Polymarket Data

Active signals

Recent Trades

No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.

updated 0s ago·src:Polymarket Data

Market Description

This market refers to the StarCraft II Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Classic and SHIN in the WardiTV Team Liquid Map Contest Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Classic" if Classic win the match against SHIN. This market will resolve to "SHIN" if SHIN win the match against Classic. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching. Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition. If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Resolution & Risk

HIGH risk
End date
Apr 25, 2026
UMA status
n/a
Resolution source
Primary
consensus of credible reporting
Type
News consensus
Market type
Binary
  • Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
  • Wide spread (40.6¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Read full market rules on Polymarket

Alerts

¢
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