StarCraft II: Classic vs SHIN - Map 3 Winner
Probability
46¢
1h
+5.9pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$155.58
Liquidity
$1.69
Probability (last 7 days)
+0.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 2
Wide spread — 92.5¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
- 3
Past expiry — awaiting resolution
Market is past its end date. Any price move now is a settlement / dispute artefact, not new information.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 21:26SignalMEDIUM
Resolution risk
Market has reached expiry. Watch the UMA dispute window.
- 16:00ResolveHIGH
Market resolved 5h ago
Price movement
-4.3pp over the last 24h, now 46¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market refers to the StarCraft II Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Classic and SHIN in the WardiTV Team Liquid Map Contest Playoffs, initially scheduled for April 25 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Classic" if Classic win Map 3 against SHIN. This market will resolve to "SHIN" if SHIN win Map 3 against Classic. If the match begins but is not completed, and Map 3 is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on the completed Map 3. If Map 3 is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page. However, if https://liquipedia.net/starcraft2/Main_Page has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.
Resolution & Risk
HIGH risk- End date
- Apr 25, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Market type
- Binary
- Market expires Apr 25, 2026 — dispute window active.
- Wide spread (92.5¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.